Examinando por Autor "Barboza Castillo, Elgar"

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Change of vegetation cover and land use of the Pómac forest historical sanctuary in northern Peru
(Springer Nature, 2024-04-06) Vera Díaz, Elvis; Camila Leandra, Cruz Grimaldo; Barboza Castillo, Elgar; Salazar Coronel, Wilian; Canta Ventura, Jorge Marino; Salazar Hinostroza, Evelin Judith; Vásquez Pérez, Héctor Vladimir; Arbizu Berrocal, Carlos Irvin
The dry forests of northern Peru, in the regions of Piura, Tumbes, Lambayeque, and La Libertad, have experienced significant changes as a result of deforestation and changes in land use, leading to the loss of biodiversity and resources. This work analyzed for the first time the changes in vegetation cover and land use of the Pómac Forest Historical Sanctuary (PFHS), located in the department of Lambayeque (northern Peru). The employed approach was the random forest algorithm and visually interpreted Landsat satellite images for the periods 2000–2002, 2002–2004, and 2004–2008. Gain and loss rates were computed for each period, and the recovery process was assessed using the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and enhanced vegetation index (EVI). Results indicate an expansion of agricultural land during each period, resulting in the deforestation of 102.6 hectares of dense dry forest and 739.9 hectares of open dry forest between 2000 and 2008. The degree of reforestation in the cleared areas was measured using the NDVI and EVI indices, revealing an improvement from 0.22 in NDVI in 2009 to 0.36 in 2022, and from 0.14 to 0.21 in EVI over the same period. This study is expected to pave the way for executing land management plans, as well as the use and conservation of natural resources in the PFHS in a sustainable manner.
Cover and land use changes in the dry forest of Tumbes (Peru) using sentinel-2 and google earth engine data
(MDPI, 2022-10-21) Barboza Castillo, Elgar; Salazar Coronel, Wilian; Gálvez Paucar, David; Valqui Valqui, Lamberto; Saravia Navarro, David; Gonzales, Jhony; Aldana, Wiliam; Vásquez Pérez, Héctor Vladimir; Arbizu Berrocal, Carlos Irvin
Dry forests are home to large amounts of biodiversity, are providers of ecosystem services, and control the advance of deserts. However, globally, these ecosystems are being threatened by various factors such as climate change, deforestation, and land use and land cover (LULC). The objective of this study was to identify the dynamics of LULC changes and the factors associated with the transformations of the dry forest in the Tumbes region (Peru) using Google Earth Engine (GEE). For this, the annual collection of Sentinel 2 (S2) satellite images of 2017 and 2021 was analyzed. Six types of LULC were identified, namely urban area (AU), agricultural land (AL), land without or with little vegetation (LW), water body (WB), dense dry forest (DDF), and open dry forest (ODF). Subsequently, we applied the Random Forest (RF) method for the classification. LULC maps reported accuracies greater than 89%. In turn, the rates of DDF and ODF between 2017 and 2021 remained unchanged at around 82%. Likewise, the largest net change occurred in the areas of WB, AL, and UA, at 51, 22, and 21%, respectively. Meanwhile, forest cover reported a loss of 4% (165.09 km2 ) of the total area in the analyzed period (2017–2021). The application of GEE allowed for an evaluation of the changes in forest cover and land use in the dry forest, and from this, it provided important information for the sustainable management of this ecosystem
Current and future distribution of Shihuahuaco (Dipteryx spp.) under climate change scenarios in the Central-Eastern Amazon of Peru
(MDPI, 2023-05-10) Cárdenas Rengifo, Gloria Patricia; Bravo Morales, Nino Frank; Barboza Castillo, Elgar; Salazar Coronal, Wilian; Ocaña Reyes, Jimmy Alcides; Vásquez Macedo, Miguel; Lobato Gálvez, Roiser Honorio; Injante Silva, Pedro Hugo; Arbizu Berrocal, Carlos Irvin
The consequences of climate change influence the distribution of species, which plays a key role in ecosystems. In this work, the modeling of the current and potential future distribution was carried out under different climate change scenarios of a tree species of high economic and commercial value, Dipteryx spp. This is a hardwood species that plays an important role in carbon sequestration, providing food and nesting for wildlife species, reaching more than 40 m in height with an average diameter of 70 to 150 cm. This species is currently threatened by overexploitation. Thirty-six bioclimatic, topographic and edaphic variables with ~1 km2 spatial resolution obtained from the WorldClim, SoilGrids and SRTM databases where used. Highly correlated variables were identified with the MaxEnt software for forecasting how the species distribution will be affected until the year 2100, according to the climate scenarios SPP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5, representing the periods 2021–2040, 2041–2060, 2061–2080 and 2081–2100, respectively. The AUC accuracy value of 0.88 to 0.89 was found for the distribution models and the highest contributing variables used were Bio 5, precipitation, Bio 2, and Bio 14. In the climate scenario SPP1-2.6 (Bio 5, precipitation and Bio 2) in 2061–2080, suitable and very suitable habitats represented 30.69% of the study area (2616 ha and 586.97 ha, respectively) and those increased by 1.75% under current climate conditions, and the suitable and unsuitable habitats represented 69.31% of the total area. The results of this research provide valuable information on the current and future distribution of the species and identify zones that can be used as the basis for the creation of conservation areas, formulation of restoration projects, reforestation and sustainable management to avoid the extinction of the species in the face of the effects of climate change.
Distribution Models of Timber Species for Forest Conservation and Restoration in the Andean-Amazonian Landscape, North of Peru
(MDPI, 2020-09-25) Cotrina Sánchez, Dany A.; Barboza Castillo, Elgar; Rojas Briceño, Nilton B.; Oliva Cruz, Manuel; Torres Guzmán, Cristóbal; Amasifuen Guerra, Carlos Alberto; Bandopadhyay, Subhajit
The Andean-Amazonian landscape has been universally recognized for its wide biodiversity, and is considered as global repository of ecosystem services. However, the severe loss of forest cover and rapid reduction of the timber species seriously threaten this ecosystem and biodiversity. In this study, we have modeled the distribution of the ten most exploited timber forest species in Amazonas (Peru) to identify priority areas for forest conservation and restoration. Statistical and cartographic protocols were applied with 4454 species records and 26 environmental variables using a Maximum Entropy model (MaxEnt). The result showed that the altitudinal variable was the main regulatory factor that significantly controls the distribution of the species. We found that nine species are distributed below 1000 m above sea level (a.s.l.), except Cedrela montana, which was distributed above 1500 m a.s.l., covering 40.68%. Eight of 10 species can coexist, and the species with the highest percentage of potential restoration area is Cedrela montana (14.57% from Amazonas). However, less than 1.33% of the Amazon has a potential distribution of some species and is protected under some category of conservation. Our study will contribute as a tool for the sustainable management of forests and will provide geographic information to complement forest restoration and conservation plans.
Efectividad de áreas de conservación privada comunal en bosques montanos nublados del norte del Perú
(Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología, 2021-11-26) Delgado, Ellen; Mori, Gerson; Barboza Castillo, Elgar; Rojas Briceño, Nilton B.; Torres Guzmán, Cristóbal; Oliva Cruz, Manuel; Chavez Quintana, Segundo G.; Salas López, Rolando; López de la Lama, Rocío; Sevillano Ríos, C. Steven; Sarmiento, Fausto
Las Áreas de Conservación Privada (ACP) son uno de los mecanismos de conservación, gestionadas por ciudadanos privados que más protagonismo han adquirido en los escenarios de conservación local en los últimos años. En este estudio evaluamos la efectividad de cuatro ACP gestionadas por comunidades locales (CC). Se aplicó el Índice de Efectividad Compuesto (IEC) para determinar la efectividad del diseño, la integridad ecológica y la gestión. Los resultados muestran sistemas de gestión con una efectividad media, tres de las cuatro ACP evaluados (Copallín, Huaylla Belén-Colcamar y Tilacancha) reportan un diseño efectivo. Los rangos altitudinales protegidos están entre 2500 y 3500 m.s.n.m., con un índice de representatividad de la superficie promedio de 4,55% con respecto al área conservada en la categoría ACP para el departamento de Amazonas. La evaluación de la integridad ecológica indica que las ACP presentan menor superficie transformada (TS) (0-10%) y mayor TS en sus áreas circundantes, especialmente en el ACP Tilacancha (13,37% de TS en un buffer de 1,5 km). La suma ponderada de los índices individuales resulta en índices de efectividad compuestos de mayor a menor para el ACP Copallín (2,22), Hierba Buena Allpayacku (1,82), Huaylla Belen Colcamar (1,81) y Tilacancha (1,56).
Medicinal Plants for Rich People vs. Medicinal Plants for Poor People: A Case Study from the Peruvian Andes
(MDPI, 2021-08-09) Corroto, Fernando; Rascon, Jesús; Barboza Castillo, Elgar; Macía, Manuel J.
Traditional knowledge (TK) of medicinal plants in cities has been poorly studied across different inhabitants’ socioeconomic sectors. We studied the small city of Chachapoyas (~34,000 inhabitants) in the northern Peruvian Andes. We divided the city into three areas according to the socio-economic characteristics of its inhabitants: city center (high), intermediate area (medium), and city periphery (low). We gathered information with 450 participants through semi-structured interviews. Participants of the city periphery showed a higher TK of medicinal plants than participants of the intermediate area, and the latter showed a higher TK than participants of the city center. The acquisition of medicinal plants was mainly through their purchase in markets across the three areas, although it was particularly relevant in the city center (94%). Participants of all socioeconomic levels widely used the same medicinal plants for similar purposes in Chachapoyas, which is likely based on a common Andean culture that unites their TK. However, participants with the lowest socioeconomic level knew and used more plants for different medicinal uses, indicating the necessity of these plants for their livelihoods. City markets with specialized stores that commercialize medicinal plants are key to preserve the good health of poor and rich people living in Andean cities and societies.
Modeling the current and future habitat suitability of Neltuma pallida in the dry forest of northern Peru under climate change scenarios to 2100
(John Wiley & Sons Inc., 2024-08-27) Barboza Castillo, Elgar; Bravo Morales, Nino; Cotrina Sanchez, Alexander; Salazar Coronel, Wilian; Gálvez Paucar, David; Gonzales, Jhony; Saravia Navarro, David; Valqui Valqui, Lamberto; Cárdenas Rengifo, Gloria Patricia; Ocaña Reyes, Jimmy Alcides; Cruz Luis, Juancarlos; Arbizu Berrocal, Carlos Irvin
The development of anthropic activities and climate change effects impact worldwide species' ecosystems and habitats. Habitats' adequate prediction can be an important tool to assess current and future trends. In addition, it allows strategies development for their conservation. The Neltuma pallida of the forest region in northern Peru, although very significant, has experienced a decline in recent years. The objective of this research is to evaluate the current and future distribution and conservation status of N. pallida in the Peruvian dry forest under climate change (Location: Republic of Peru). A total of 132 forest presence records and 10 variables (bioclimatic, topographic, and soil) were processed and selected to obtain the current and future distribution for 2100, using Google Earth Engine (GEE), RStudio, and MaxEnt. The area under the curve values fell within the range of 0.93–0.95, demonstrating a strong predictive capability for both present and future potential habitats. The findings indicated that the likely range of habitats for N. pallida was shaped by factors such as the average temperature of wettest quarter, maximum temperature of warmest month, elevation, rainfall, and precipitation of driest month. The main suitable areas were in the central regions of the geographical departments of Tumbes, Piura, and Lambayeque, as well as in the northern part of La Libertad. It is critical to determine the habitat suitability of plant species for conservation managers since this information stimulates the development of policies that favor sustainable use programs. In addition, these results can contribute significantly to identify new areas for designing strategies for populations conserving and recovering with an ecological restoration approach.
Modelling Snowmelt Runoff from Tropical Andean Glaciers under Climate Change Scenarios in the Santa River Sub-Basin (Peru)
(MDPI, 2021-12-10) Calizaya, Elmer; Mejía, Abel; Barboza Castillo, Elgar; Calizaya, Fredy; Corroto, Fernando; Salas López, Rolando; Vásquez Pérez, Héctor Vladimir; Turpo Cayo, Efrain
Effects of climate change have led to a reduction in precipitation and an increase in temperature across several areas of the world. This has resulted in a sharp decline of glaciers and an increase in surface runoff in watersheds due to snowmelt. This situation requires a better understanding to improve the management of water resources in settled areas downstream of glaciers. In this study, the snowmelt runoff model (SRM) was applied in combination with snow-covered area information (SCA), precipitation, and temperature climatic data to model snowmelt runoff in the Santa River sub-basin (Peru). The procedure consisted of calibrating and validating the SRM model for 2005–2009 using the SRTM digital elevation model (DEM), observed temperature, precipitation and SAC data. Then, the SRM was applied to project future runoff in the sub-basin under the climate change scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. SRM patterns show consistent results; runoff decreases in the summer months and increases the rest of the year. The runoff projection under climate change scenarios shows a substantial increase from January to May, reporting the highest increases in March and April, and the lowest records from June to August. The SRM demonstrated consistent projections for the simulation of historical flows in tropical Andean glaciers.
Predicting potential distribution and identifying priority areas for conservation of the Yellow-tailed Woolly Monkey (Lagothrix flavicauda) in Peru
(Urban und Fischer Verlag GmbH und Co. KG, 2022-11-14) Guzman, Betty K.; Cotrina Sánchez, Alexander; Allauja Salazar, Elvis E.; Olivera Tarifeño, Christian M.; Ramos Sandoval, Jhonny D.; Hoyos Cerna, Marlon Y.; Barboza Castillo, Elgar; Torres Guzmán, Cristóbal; Oliva Cruz, Manuel
Species distribution models (SDMs) provide conservationist with spatial distributions estimations of priority species. Lagothrix flavicauda (Humboldt, 1812), commonly known as the Yellow-tailed Woolly Monkey, is one of the largest primates in the New World. This species is endemic to the montane forests of northern Peru, in the departments of Amazonas, San Martín, Huánuco, Junín, La Libertad, and Loreto at elevation from1,000 to 2,800 m. It is classified as “Critically Endangered” (CR) by the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) as well as by Peruvian legislation. Furthermore, it is listed in Appendix I of the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora (CITES). Research on precise estimates of its potential distribution are scare. Therefore, in this study we modeled the potential distribution area of this species in Peru, the model was generated using the MaxEnt algorithm, along with 80 georeferenced occurrence records and 28 environmental variables. The total distribution (high, moderate, and low) for L. flavicauda is 29,383.3 km2, having 3,480.7 km2 as high potential distribution. In effect, 22.64 % (6,648.49 km2) of the total distribution area of L. flavicauda is found within Natural Protected Areas (NPAs), with the following categories representing the largest areas of distribution: Protected Forests (1,620.41 km2), Regional Conservation Areas (1,976.79 km2), and Private Conservation Areas (1,166.55 km2). After comparing the predicted distribution with the current NPAs system, we identified new priority areas for the conservation of the species. We, therefore, believe that this study will contribute significantly to the conservation of L. flavicauda in Peru.
Site Selection for a Network ofWeather Stations Using AHP and Near Analysis in a GIS Environment in Amazonas, NW Peru
(MDPI, 2021-11-28) Rojas Briceño, Nilton B.; Salas López, Rolando; Silva López, Jhonsy Omar; Oliva Cruz, Manuel; Gómez Fernández, Darwin; Terrones Murga, Renzo E.; Iliquin Trigoso, Daniel; Barrena Gurbillón, Miguel; Barboza Castillo, Elgar
Meteorological observations play a major role in land management; thus, it is vital to properly plan the monitoring network of weather stations (WS). This study, therefore, selected ‘highly suitable’ sites with the objective of replanning the WS network in Amazonas, NW Peru. A set of 11 selection criteria for WS sites were identified and mapped in a Geographic Information System, as well as their importance weights were determined using Analytic Hierarchy Process and experts. A map of the suitability of the territory for WS sites was constructed by weighted superimposition of the criteria maps. On this map, the suitability status of the 20 existing WS sites was then assessed and, if necessary, relocated. New ‘highly suitable’ sites were determined by the Near Analysis method using existing WS (some relocated). The territory suitability map for WS showed that 0.3% (108.55 km2) of Amazonas has ‘highly suitable’ characteristics to establish WS. This ‘highly suitable’ territory corresponds to 26,683 polygons (of ≥30 × 30 m each), from which 100 polygons were selected in 11 possible distributions of new WS networks in Amazonas, with different number and distance of new WS in each distribution. The implementation of this methodology will be a useful support tool for WS network planning.
Spatial analysis of environmentally sensitive areas to soil degradation using MEDALUS model and GIS in Amazonas (Peru): an alternative for ecological restoration
(MDPI, 2022-11-10) Meza Mori, Gerson; Torres Guzmán, Cristóbal; Oliva Cruz, Manuel; Salas López, Rolando; Marlo, Gladys; Barboza Castillo, Elgar
Land degradation is a permanent global threat that requires an interdisciplinary approach to addressing solutions in a given territory. This study, therefore, analyses environmentally sensitive areas to land degradation using the Mediterranean Desertification and Land Use (MEDALUS) and Geographic Information System (GIS) method through a multi-criteria approach in the district of Florida (Peru). For the method, we considered the main quality indicators such as: Climate Quality Index (CQI), Soil Quality Index (SQI), Vegetation Quality Index (VQI), and Management Quality Index (MQI). There were also identified groups of parameters for each of the quality indicators analyzed. The results showed that 2.96% of the study area is classified as critical; 48.85% of the surface is classified as fragile; 15.48% of the areas are potentially endangered, and 30.46% are not threatened by degradation processes. Furthermore, SQI, VQI, and MQI induced degradation processes in the area. Based on the results, five restoration proposals were made in the study area: (i) organic manure production, (ii) cultivated and improved pastures and livestock improvement, (iii) native forest restoration, (iv) construction of reservoirs in the top hills and (v) uses of new technologies. The findings and proposals can be a basic support and further improved by decision-makers when implemented in situ to mitigate degradation for a sustainable use of the territory.
Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Grasslands Using Landsat Data in Livestock Micro-Watersheds in Amazonas (NW Peru)
(MDPI, 2022-05-01) Atalaya Marin, Nilton; Barboza Castillo, Elgar; Salas López, Rolando; Vásquez Pérez, Héctor Vladimir; Gómez Fernández, Darwin; Terrones Murga, Renzo E.; Rojas Briceño, Nilton B.; Oliva Cruz, Manuel; Gamarra Torres, Oscar Ándres; Silva López, Jhonsy Omar; Turpo Cayo, Efrain
In Peru, grasslands monitoring is essential to support public policies related to the identification, recovery and management of livestock systems. In this study, therefore, we evaluated the spatial dynamics of grasslands in Pomacochas and Ventilla micro-watersheds (Amazonas, NW Peru). To do this, we used Landsat 5, 7 and 8 images and vegetation indices (normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), enhanced vegetation index (EVI) and soil adjusted vegetation index (SAVI). The data were processed in Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform for 1990, 2000, 2010 and 2020 through random forest (RF) classification reaching accuracies above 85%. The application of RF in GEE allowed surface mapping of grasslands with pressures higher than 85%. Interestingly, our results reported the increase of grasslands in both Pomacochas (from 2457.03 ha to 3659.37 ha) and Ventilla (from 1932.38 ha to 4056.26 ha) micro-watersheds during 1990–2020. Effectively, this study aims to provide useful information for territorial planning with potential replicability for other cattle-raising regions of the country. It could further be used to improve grassland management and promote semi-extensive livestock farming.
Updating the distribution of Dicrodon guttulatum Duméril & Bibron, 1839 (Reptilia, Teiidae) with a disjunct population in the eastern slope of the Peruvian Andes
(Pensoft, 2022-05-11) García Bravo, Antonio; Guzman, Betty K.; Mendoza, Jani E.; Torres Guzmán, Cristóbal; Oliva Cruz, Manuel; Barboza Castillo, Elgar; Quiñones Rámirez, Jhon; Zabarburu Veneros, J. Luis; Venegas, Pablo J.
We report a disjunct population of Dicrodon guttulatum Duméril & Bibron, 1839 on the eastern slope of the Cordillera Occidental in the inter-Andean Seasonally Dry Forests of the Marañón River, in the Departments of Cajamarca and Piura in northwestern Peru. We include an updated range distribution map using records from museum specimens, the Global Biodiversity Information Facility, and available photographic records on iNaturalist. In addition, we identify widespread cultivation of rice crops as the main threat to D. guttulatum in the inter-Andean Seasonally Dry Forests of the Marañón.
Yield prediction of four bean (Phaseolus vulgaris) cultivars using vegetation indices based on multispectral images from UAV in an arid zone of Peru
(MDPI, 2023-05-19) Saravia Navarro, David; Valqui Valqui, Lamberto; Salazar Coronal, Wilian; Quille Mamani, Javier Alvaro; Barboza Castillo, Elgar; Porras Jorge, Zenaida Rossana; Injante Silva, Pedro Hugo; Arbizu Berrocal, Carlos Irvin
In Peru, common bean varieties adapt very well to arid zones, and it is essential to strengthen their evaluations accurately during their phenological stage by using remote sensors and UAV. However, this technology has not been widely adopted in the Peruvian agricultural system, causing a lack of information and precision data on this crop. Here, we predicted the yield of four beans cultivars by using multispectral images, vegetation indices (VIs) and multiple linear correlations (with 11 VIs) in 13 different periods of their phenological development. The multispectral images were analyzed with two methods: (1) a mask of only the crop canopy with supervised classification constructed with QGIS software; and (2) the grids corresponding to each plot (n = 48) without classification. The prediction models can be estimated with higher accuracy when bean plants reached maximum canopy cover (vegetative and reproductive stages), obtaining higher R2 for the c2000 cultivar (0.942) with the CIG, PCB, DVI, EVI and TVI indices with method 2. Similarly, with five VIs, the camanejo cultivar showed the highest R2 for both methods 1 and 2 (0.89 and 0.837) in the reproductive stage. The models better predicted the yield in the phenological stages V3–V4 and R6–R8 for all bean cultivars. This work demonstrated the utility of UAV tools and the use of multispectral images to predict yield before harvest under the Peruvian arid ecosystem.
Yield predictions of four hybrids of maize (Zea mays) using multispectral images obtained from RPAS in the coast of Peru
(MDPI, 2022-05-17) Saravia Navarro, David; Salazar Coronel, Wilian; Valqui Valqui, Lamberto; Quille Mamani, Javier Alvaro; Porras Jorge, Rossana; Corredor Arizapana, Flor Anita; Barboza Castillo, Elgar; Vásquez Pérez, Héctor Vladimir; Arbizu Berrocal, Carlos Irvin
Early assessment of crop development is a key aspect of precision agriculture. Shortening the time of response before a deficit of irrigation, nutrients and damage by diseases is one of the usual concerns in agriculture. Early prediction of crop yields can increase profitability in the farmer's economy. In this study we aimed to predict the yield of four maize commercial hybrids (Dekalb7508, Advanta9313, MH_INIA619 and Exp_05PMLM) using remotely sensed spectral vegetation indices (VI). A total of 10 VI (NDVI, GNDVI, GCI, RVI, NDRE, CIRE, CVI, MCARI, SAVI, and CCCI) were considered for evaluating crop yield and plant cover at 31, 39, 42, 46 and 51 days after sowing (DAS). A multivariate analysis was applied using principal component analysis (PCA), linear regression, and r-Pearson correlation. In the present study, highly significant correlations were found between plant cover with VIs at 46 (GNDVI, GCI, RVI, NDRE, CIRE and CCCI) and 51 DAS (GNDVI, GCI, NDRE, CIRE, CVI, MCARI and CCCI). The PCA indicated a clear discrimination of the dates evaluated with VIs at 31, 39 and 51 DAS. The inclusion of the CIRE and NDRE in the prediction model contributed to estimate the performance, showing greater precision at 51 DAS. The use of RPAS to monitor crops allows optimizing resources and helps in making timely decisions in agriculture in Peru.
Yield predictions of four hybrids of maize (Zea mays) using multispectral images obtained from UAV in the Coast of Peru
(MDPI, 2022-10-26) Saravia Navarro, David; Salazar Coronel, Wilian; Valqui Valqui, Lamberto; Quille Mamani, Javier Alvaro; Porras Jorge, Zenaida Rossana; Corredor Arizapana, Flor Anita; Barboza Castillo, Elgar; Vásquez Pérez, Héctor Vladimir; Casas Diaz, Andrés V.; Arbizu Berrocal, Carlos Irvin
Early assessment of crop development is a key aspect of precision agriculture. Shortening the time of response before a deficit of irrigation, nutrients and damage by diseases is one of the usual concerns in agriculture. Early prediction of crop yields can increase profitability for the farmer’s economy. In this study, we aimed to predict the yield of four maize commercial hybrids (Dekalb7508, Advanta9313, MH_INIA619 and Exp_05PMLM) using vegetation indices (VIs). A total of 10 VIs (NDVI, GNDVI, GCI, RVI, NDRE, CIRE, CVI, MCARI, SAVI, and CCCI) were considered for evaluating crop yield and plant cover at 31, 39, 42, 46 and 51 days after sowing (DAS). A multivariate analysis was applied using principal component analysis (PCA), linear regression, and r-Pearson correlation. Highly significant correlations were found between plant cover with VIs at 46 (GNDVI, GCI, RVI, NDRE, CIRE and CCCI) and 51 DAS (GNDVI, GCI, NDRE, CIRE, CVI, MCARI and CCCI). The PCA showed clear discrimination of the dates evaluated with VIs at 31, 39 and 51 DAS. The inclusion of the CIRE and NDRE in the prediction model contributed to estimating the performance, showing greater precision at 51 DAS. The use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to monitor crops allows us to optimize resources and helps in making timely decisions in agriculture in Peru.